What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes

What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes

11/17/2016

link

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/

summary

This article from FiveThirtyEight examines the significance of a 2-percentage point difference in polling results. It highlights the potential impact of a small margin in elections and how it can dramatically alter the outcome. The article uses data from various political scenarios to illustrate how even a slight shift in support can lead to a significant change in electoral results. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the uncertainty and volatility of polling data, and how seemingly small differences can have a major impact on the final outcome.

tags

data-driven journalism ꞏ voter preferences ꞏ polling methodology ꞏ election campaigns ꞏ political polling ꞏ polling trends ꞏ election forecasting models ꞏ election outcomes ꞏ polling accuracy ꞏ election results ꞏ uncertainty ꞏ opinion polls ꞏ survey methodology ꞏ political debates ꞏ election coverage ꞏ election dynamics ꞏ election forecasting ꞏ polling data ꞏ polling bias ꞏ statistics ꞏ data journalism ꞏ election forecasting methods ꞏ political pundits ꞏ political trends ꞏ voter demographics ꞏ political analysis ꞏ statistical analysis ꞏ election analysis ꞏ sampling techniques ꞏ public opinion ꞏ voting trends ꞏ data analysis ꞏ election predictions ꞏ data visualization ꞏ election statistics ꞏ voting behavior ꞏ voting patterns ꞏ political commentary ꞏ margin of error ꞏ statistical significance ꞏ political science ꞏ statistical modeling ꞏ statistical inference