What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes
What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes
11/17/2016
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summary
This article from FiveThirtyEight examines the significance of a 2-percentage point difference in polling results. It highlights the potential impact of a small margin in elections and how it can dramatically alter the outcome. The article uses data from various political scenarios to illustrate how even a slight shift in support can lead to a significant change in electoral results. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the uncertainty and volatility of polling data, and how seemingly small differences can have a major impact on the final outcome.
tags
statistics ꞏ data analysis ꞏ political polling ꞏ election forecasting ꞏ public opinion ꞏ data visualization ꞏ data journalism ꞏ voting patterns ꞏ voting behavior ꞏ survey methodology ꞏ statistical modeling ꞏ sampling techniques ꞏ statistical analysis ꞏ election analysis ꞏ political analysis ꞏ polling accuracy ꞏ margin of error ꞏ uncertainty ꞏ polling data ꞏ election results ꞏ statistical significance ꞏ polling trends ꞏ election campaigns ꞏ political science ꞏ data-driven journalism ꞏ election predictions ꞏ polling methodology ꞏ opinion polls ꞏ political trends ꞏ political pundits ꞏ election outcomes ꞏ election forecasting models ꞏ voter demographics ꞏ polling bias ꞏ statistical inference ꞏ voter preferences ꞏ election dynamics ꞏ election coverage ꞏ election statistics ꞏ election forecasting methods ꞏ political commentary ꞏ voting trends ꞏ political debates