effective-altruism-is-not-effective.html?m=1
Hello ambiguity!
What the Hell is Going On? — David Perell
The Role of Luck in Life is Still Misunderstood · Joshua Balloch
The Odds of That
What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes
Bayes's Theorem
Hesitate!
The Benefits of Getting Comfortable With Uncertainty
A former Google exec on how to make tough decisions quickly
What does randomness look like?
How to choose?