Cause And Effect
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summary
This blog post explores a new statistical test called 'Bayesian Structural Time Series' (BSTS) that is designed to identify causal relationships between variables. The author explains that traditional statistical methods often struggle to determine causality, as they can only establish correlation. The BSTS approach, however, utilizes Bayesian inference to model the cause-and-effect relationships between variables. The blog post provides an overview of how the BSTS method works and highlights some real-world examples where it has been successfully applied, such as evaluating the impact of advertising on sales. The author concludes by discussing the potential implications and benefits of using the BSTS method in various fields, including economics, epidemiology, and social sciences.