'We're f—ked': California's music festival bubble is bursting

https://www.sfgate.com/sf-culture/article/california-music-festival-bubble-bursting-19786530.php
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'We're f—ked': California's music festival bubble is bursting

The music festival industry, particularly for independent promoters, is facing a severe crisis marked by numerous cancellations and financial strain, despite initial post-pandemic optimism. This downturn is attributed to a "perfect storm" of factors, including inflation significantly increasing operational costs (e.g., portable toilets, insurance, artist fees), and a shift in consumer behavior where attendees are purchasing tickets later than usual and increasingly using payment plans, which impacts the festivals' upfront cash flow. Additionally, the market has become oversaturated with too many festivals after a boom in 2021 and 2022, leading to a decline in demand and increased competition for attendees' money. This combination of rising costs, delayed ticket sales, and market oversaturation has made it incredibly challenging for smaller, independent festivals that lack the financial reserves of larger corporations like Goldenvoice and Live Nation to survive.

Note

add to the list more evidence that business predictions are difficult given the influence of so many diverse factors.

Published

2024

Summary

The music festival industry, particularly for independent promoters, is facing a severe crisis marked by numerous cancellations and financial strain, despite initial post-pandemic optimism. This downturn is attributed to a "perfect storm" of factors, including inflation significantly increasing operational costs (e.g., portable toilets, insurance, artist fees), and a shift in consumer behavior where attendees are purchasing tickets later than usual and increasingly using payment plans, which impacts the festivals' upfront cash flow. Additionally, the market has become oversaturated with too many festivals after a boom in 2021 and 2022, leading to a decline in demand and increased competition for attendees' money. This combination of rising costs, delayed ticket sales, and market oversaturation has made it incredibly challenging for smaller, independent festivals that lack the financial reserves of larger corporations like Goldenvoice and Live Nation to survive.

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